BIST 100 Opens Week with Gains, Payment Balance Outlook Guides Markets

BIST 100 continues its upward momentum on the first trading day of the week, while geopolitical tensions and payment‑balance forecasts set the market tempo.

Green and Red Lights on the Istanbul Stock Exchange

■BIST 100 closed up 1.53% at 14,321.19 points.

■The index opened down 0.39% at 14,265.51 points.

■Banking Index fell 1.18%, while the Holding Index slipped 0.59%.

■Sector leaders: Chemicals, Oil & Plastics gained 1.10%, whereas Transportation dropped 1.38%.

Geopolitical Winds and the Resilience of BIST 100

■Intensified US strikes on Iran and ongoing risks in the Strait of Hormuz have sparked selling pressure in global markets.

■Despite the external shock, the 14,400 and 14,500 resistance levels remain key watch points for BIST 100.

Payment‑Balance Forecasts Shape Market Dynamics

■AA Finance’s Payment‑Balance Survey projects a $1.1275 million deficit for May.

■The annual current‑account deficit is expected to reach $52.255 billion.

■Analysts will monitor domestic payment‑balance data, retail sales, and the U.S. federal budget balance for further clues.

Technical Map: Support and Resistance Zones

■14,100 and 14,000 points are identified as strong support levels.

■14,400 and 14,500 points serve as potential resistance barriers.

Markets remain shrouded in uncertainty. Geopolitical risk‑driven volatility raises the probability of a break through technical thresholds. The projected payment‑balance shortfall will be a pivotal driver for currency and equity flows. In this context, investors should tighten risk controls and focus on short‑term technical signals. Fatih Kılıç, Chief Data Scientist – Economic Indicators