Fed and John Williams Signal That Inflation Has Likely Passed Its Peak

Fed Chair Jerome Powell and New York Fed President John Williams delivered compelling evidence that inflation is no longer peaking.

Fed’s Inflation Outlook and Williams’ Remarks

Williams highlighted that the latest Core Inflation reading slipped to 2.5%, suggesting the policy rate could remain steady in the 5.25‑5.50% range.

Global Inflation Trends and Market Reactions

■US CPI posted an annual 3.0%, below consensus forecasts.

■Eurozone inflation eased to 5.2%, indicating a modest downward trajectory.

■Japan consumer prices stood at 2.1%, comfortably under the target.

BIST 100 Technical Landscape

■The 50‑Day EMA has crossed above 7,200 points, signaling short‑term bullish momentum.

■Ichimoku Cloud currently sits just above the price; a shift to a red cloud would signal a pull‑back.

■Fibonacci Retracements flag critical support/resistance at 38.2% (6,850) and 61.8% (7,450).

Tactical Trade Recommendations

■Long: Target entries between 6,900‑7,200 with a stop‑loss at 6,800.

■Short: Positions above 7,500 can aim for a take‑profit around 7,800; exit if the cloud turns red.

■Options: Consider ATM Call options in the 7,200‑7,300 band for low‑premium exposure.

Markets are regaining risk appetite as the Fed softens its tight monetary stance. Nonetheless, Fibonacci and Ichimoku indicators hint at a possible short‑term correction, making stop‑loss protection essential. Low volatility creates a fertile ground for algorithmic trading strategies. The BIST 100 operating within the 7,200‑7,500 corridor offers a balanced play for both trend‑following and regional support‑resistance tactics.