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Stock Market

US Reaches $40 Trillion Debt, Fed's Rate Surprise and Treasury Buy‑back: A New Tightening Wind in Markets

724FinanceCaner Yılmaz
Key Highlights

ABD'nin **40 trilyon 47 milyar** dolarlık kamu borcu, **18 Ağustos** itibarıyla ilk kez 40 trilyon seviyesini aşarak 10 trilyon dolarlık hızlı artış g

US Reaches $40 Trillion Debt, Fed's Rate Surprise and Treasury Buy‑back: A New Tightening Wind in Markets

The US public debt has surpassed the $40 trillion 47 billion mark for the first time as of August 18, growing by $10 trillion in under five years, sparking global market unease.

Fed's Subtle Tactics: Rate Hike or Tightening?

The July meeting minutes suggest that if inflation continues to climb, the Fed may lift rates to 5.5%.
  • Inflation targets remain around 2.3%.
  • Some officials advocate an early 0.25% increase.
  • Others emphasize keeping policy flexible amid slowdown risks.
  • Rising Wave of Treasury Buy‑backs

    Scott Bessent’s new initiative has pushed long‑term Treasury yields from 4.5% to 3.8%, weakening the dollar.
  • Buy‑back volume last week reached $20 billion.
  • Investors noted increased liquidity in low‑yield bonds.
  • The move caused a 0.6% dip in the US dollar.
  • Trump’s Economic Operation Against Tehran

    President Donald Trump announced an unprecedented “economic operation” targeting Iran, threatening heavy consequences for its supporters.
  • The operation involves $200 million worth of trade restrictions.
  • European and Asian firms face tariff and sanction risks.
  • This development could create short‑term volatility in Global Energy Markets.
  • Canada Trade Deal: A Fair Step?

    Trump declared the new trade agreement with Canada to be “fairly balanced.”
  • The deal includes $15 million in tariff exemptions.
  • An expected $120 million increase in bilateral exports.
  • Positive reception noted by investors from Korea and Germany.
  • Gold and Crypto’s Ascending Trail

    Gold edged above $1,950, while Bitcoin surpassed the $30,000 mark, gearing up for a third‑week gain.
    Markets, reacting to Fed tightening signals and Treasury buy‑backs, appear poised to continue the safe‑haven rally in gold and crypto, signaling a critical period for portfolio rebalancing.

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    Caner Yılmaz

    Financial Analyst: Caner Yılmaz

    BIST 100 Teknik ve Kantitatif Analiz Direktörü. Fibonacci düzeltmeleri, Ichimoku bulutları ve hareketli ortalamalar üzerinden endeksin yön tayinini yapan, algo-trading mantığıyla yazan piyasa yapıcısı.

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