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MACROECONOMY

Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz Comes to a Halt: Impact on Energy Markets

Cansın TuncelCansın Tuncel
Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz Comes to a Halt: Impact on Energy Markets

Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has come to a near standstill following the second day of consecutive attacks by the US on Iran. The movement observed in the Strait, one of the world's most critical energy transit points, has been largely confined to the northern route approved by Iran, while an eerie silence prevails in the Oman corridor supported by the US. Only a US-sanctioned supertanker and an Iranian-flagged container ship were spotted passing through the strait among large vessels. However, it is noted that some ships might have passed through by switching off their tracking devices. The data indicating the formation of ship clusters in the Strait may suggest electronic interference with navigation systems. This slowdown in traffic follows the US operations and President Donald Trump's announcement of the end of the ceasefire with Iran, after Iran's consecutive attacks on ships. On Wednesday, a total of 14 cargo ships passed through the strait in both directions, marking the lowest daily figure since the temporary peace agreement in mid-June. The halt in traffic in the Strait of Hormuz could have a significant impact on energy markets. Oil prices may rise further due to the heightened geopolitical tension. This development is seen as critical for investors and economists closely watching energy markets. The Blow to the Energy Corridor from Hormuz: The future of energy markets depends on closely monitoring developments in the Strait of Hormuz. The balance of energy demand and supply is crucial for the stability of global energy markets. In this context, developments in the Strait of Hormuz are considered one of the most important factors affecting energy markets.

Cansın Tuncel

Financial Analyst: Cansın Tuncel

Shadow Banking and Liquidity Analyst. Macro detective uncovering central banks' hidden balance sheets, QT, and repo market stress.

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