June 2026 Trade Indexes Surge

Turkey's foreign trade performance recorded the fastest value gains on record in June 2026.

Export Unit Value: A Striking 12.6% Rise

■Food, beverages and tobacco up 5.9%.

■Raw materials (excluding fuel) up 4.8%.

■Fuels surged 40.7%.

■Manufacturing (excluding food, beverages, tobacco) grew 11.6%.

Export Volume Index: Diversity and 5.5% Decline

■Food, beverages and tobacco up 19.1%.

■Raw materials (excluding fuel) up 25.8%.

■Fuels down 29.6%.

■Manufacturing (excluding food, beverages, tobacco) up 9.7%.

■Seasonally and calendar‑adjusted series fell 5.5% (May → June 2026).

Import Unit Value: Energy Sector Leads

■Overall increase of 12.9%.

■Fuels up 39.3%.

■Raw materials (excluding fuel) up 9.1%.

■Food, beverages and tobacco down 3.0%.

■Manufacturing (excluding food, beverages, tobacco) up 6.6%.

Import Volume Index: Food and Raw Materials Boom

■Overall rise of 9.0%.

■Food, beverages and tobacco surged 46.8%.

■Raw materials (excluding fuel) up 25.9%.

■Fuels down 7.5%.

■Manufacturing (excluding food, beverages, tobacco) up 13.9%.

■Seasonally and calendar‑adjusted series up 8.3% (May → June 2026).

Trade Balance Ratio: Maintaining a Fine Edge

■Ratio slipped to 90.1, from 90.3 a year earlier.

■Export unit value relative to import unit value showed a slight decline.

Expert Insight (Aylin Güneş): The robust rise in Turkey's export unit value is driven primarily by price gains in the energy and manufacturing sectors. Yet the seasonal dip in export volumes signals a softening demand side. The surge in import unit value, especially in fuel prices, offers a temporary buffer to the current account gap. Strategically, expanding domestic natural gas and renewable energy capacity will reinforce long‑term trade‑balance stability. In the short term, high inflation pressure and FX volatility may spark market turbulence; portfolio managers should preserve liquidity and prioritize sector‑level diversification to mitigate risk.