Goldman Sachs Flags Near‑Zero Chance of Fed Rate Hike in September

Goldman Sachs, citing the latest economic data, declared that the probability of a very low Fed rate hike in September is almost negligible.

Fed Policy Trajectory: Latest Shifts

Economists note that the softening in Employment Figures and the Inflation Report are likely to push the Fed to postpone any tightening. Goldman Sachs trimmed the chance of a 0.25% rate increase to near zero.

Macro Catalysts Boosting Bitcoin's Upswing

■A delayed 0.25% rate hike fuels liquidity inflows into the crypto market.

■$1.2 trillion of U.S. Treasury purchases revive risk appetite across asset classes.

■The 3.0% inflation target underpins market expectations for long‑term price stability.

Market Participants' Reactions and Headwinds

■Analysts at JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley see this development as supporting a 12% upside for BTC/USD.

■However, an unemployment rate lingering at 4.1% could bring the Fed back to a tightening mindset.

■Global geopolitical tensions, especially the European energy crunch, remain a volatility trigger.

Berk Arıcan – Tokenomics and Altcoin Lead Researcher: The Fed’s decision to hold rates steady will reshape the supply‑demand dynamics across the crypto ecosystem. High‑cap assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum stand to attract more institutional liquidity in a low‑rate environment. Yet, token unlock schedules and inflation rates must stay under close watch; large project token releases could exert short‑term price pressure. Investors should recalibrate portfolio diversification and risk‑management frameworks accordingly.