Economic Indicators

Turkey Sees 26.4% Rise in Exports to Syria in First Half, Volume Surges 36.6%

724FinanceFatih Kılıç
Turkey Sees 26.4% Rise in Exports to Syria in First Half, Volume Surges 36.6%

Turkey’s first‑half export to Syria surged 26.4 % in value, while shipment volumes leapt 36.6 %, signaling a robust rebound in cross‑border trade amid easing geopolitical frictions.

Record Volume and Value Growth

  • Total 3 million 182 thousand 61 tons of goods shipped, a 36.6 % increase YoY.
  • Highest value sector: $103 million 879 thousand in grinding products.
  • Cement exports surged 116.8 %, reaching $102 million 256 thousand.
  • Electrical and energy products followed with $80 million 107 thousand.
  • Southeast Anatolia’s Contribution

  • Regional exports totaled $461 million 823 thousand.
  • Quantity up 34.6 %, value up 11.4 % YoY.
  • Tariff Burden and Costs

  • Per‑ton tariffs of $1 000 translate to $25 thousand extra cost for a 20‑ton truck.
  • New customs decree plans to reassess tariffs for over 1 000 products.
  • Policy Outlook and Future Targets

  • 2025 is projected to see 70 % export growth in Syria.
  • The upward trend is expected to continue into 2026.
  • Full operation of the İslahiye‑Nusaybin border crossings will positively impact trade.
  • Fatih Kılıç: The rapid rise in Turkey’s exports to Syria signals a resurgence of regional trade. Yet high tariffs strain inter‑sectoral competitiveness. Lowering these to reasonable levels will enhance both Turkey’s export potential and Syria’s access to needed goods. A renewed free‑trade agreement would be a pivotal step in this direction.
    Fatih Kılıç

    Financial Analyst: Fatih Kılıç

    Ekonomik Göstergeler (Economic Indicators) Baş Veri Bilimcisi. Tarım Dışı İstihdam (NFP), Çekirdek TÜFE ve ISM İmalat verilerini tarihsel regresyon modelleriyle kıyaslayıp sürpriz endekslerini hesaplayan uzman.

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