Export Expectation Index Rises: New Horizon for Turkish Economy

The results of the Foreign Trade Expectation Survey for the third quarter of 2026 have been announced. Accordingly, the Export Expectation Index for the third quarter of 2026 increased by 2.4 points compared to the previous quarter, reaching 101.5. The diffusion indices of the questions included in the Export Expectation Index; future export expectations, export order expectations, and assessments of export order levels over the past three months showed an increase compared to the previous quarter, while the assessments of current export order levels showed a decrease.

■The increase in the Export Expectation Index indicates that Turkey's export-oriented growth strategy is progressing positively.

■The import index, which decreased by 2.2 points compared to the previous quarter, reaching 102.7, reflects a stabilization in import expectations.

■Economic indicators show that Turkey is making progress in achieving its export and growth targets.

Reasons for the Increase in Exports - The increase in exports may be related to the advantageous exchange rate for exporters and the expansion of trade agreements.

■The growth of industrial production and the service sector also contributed to the increase in exports.

Reasons for the Decrease in Imports - The decrease in imports may be related to the disadvantageous exchange rate for importers and incentives for domestic production.

■Import restrictions and the strengthening of domestic alternatives also contributed to the decrease in imports.

Markets will remain sensitive to these changes in export and import expectations. The positive progress of economic indicators will strengthen growth and stability expectations.