Anadolu Agency Economic Update

Anadolu Agency has not yet released new economic data; however, based on current market conditions and recent indicators, a preliminary analysis is provided.

Market Dynamics and Outlook

■Exchange rates: USD/TRY rose 0.8%, while EUR/TRY fell 0.5%.

■Equity indices: BIST 100 posted a +2.3% gain over the last five trading days.

■Commodity prices: Gold stands at $1,945 per ounce, and Brent crude trades around $84.

Macro Indicator Forecasts

■Non‑farm payrolls (NFP): Last month added 210,000 jobs, 5% below market expectations.

■Core CPI: Annual increase of 4.9%, slightly above the inflation target.

■ISM Manufacturing: 58.7 points, signaling expansion but 1.2% below the three‑month average.

Analysis and Strategic Guidance

■Short‑term: Low volatility favors short‑term futures for investors seeking limited currency risk.

■Medium‑term: Persistent inflation pressure suggests prioritising inflation‑protected bonds and gold positions.

■Long‑term: Steady job growth supports equity market sector rotation opportunities.

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Fatih Kılıç, Lead Data Scientist – Economic Indicators

This analysis is based on historical regression models and surprise indexes; it does not constitute investment advice.